According to @charliebilello, since 1928 the S&P 500 has delivered roughly 10% average annual returns while enduring an average intra-year drawdown of about -16%, underscoring that long-term upside has historically come with sizable pullbacks; source: @charliebilello on X and bilello.blog/newsletter. Traders can frame SPX risk budgets around the historical -16% intra-year drawdown profile when assessing position sizing and stop distances during uptrends; source: @charliebilello on X and bilello.blog/newsletter. Because Bitcoin’s correlation with U.S. equities rose markedly after 2020, equity drawdowns have increasingly coincided with downside in BTC and ETH, making SPX weakness a relevant risk signal for crypto leverage and hedging; source: International Monetary Fund, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync with Equities, Jan 2022.